Botswana’s economy is facing a significant downturn, primarily driven by a prolonged slump in diamond sales, the country’s primary export commodity. Finance Minister and Vice President, Ndaba Gaolathe, has warned that the economy could contract by as much as 1.7% this year.
This projected contraction would mark Botswana’s worst economic performance since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The minister attributed the downturn to various factors, including potential disruptions in the global diamond market, extreme weather events, and ongoing issues with the country’s major power plant.
Despite the bleak outlook for 2024, Gaolathe expressed optimism for the following year, anticipating a rebound and a return to a 4%-5% growth trajectory. This projection is contingent on a global economic recovery, particularly in key diamond markets, and continued growth in the non-mining sectors.
The government has announced a series of cost-cutting measures to address the fiscal challenges posed by the economic downturn. These include a commitment to achieving a balanced budget soon by aligning spending with projected revenues. Additionally, the government plans to revitalize its public-private partnership policy to stimulate economic growth.
As a diamond-dependent economy, Botswana’s fortunes are closely tied to the global demand for diamonds. The recent downturn in diamond sales has exposed the country’s vulnerability to external economic shocks. While the government is taking steps to mitigate the impact of these challenges, the country’s economic recovery remains uncertain.